The Canadian economy fared well during the global financial crisis: employment is recovering and the banks have solid balance sheets making us strong enough to weather any issues the U.S. market may experience.
As you may know, the Canadian economy, for the most part, is influenced by the U.S. economy, which is still struggling, but some sectors are showing some signs of recovery. Recent news that investment guru Warren Buffett felt the U.S. economy was strengthening has increased market activity there in the past week.
For the real estate sector in Canada, the buzz words are “balanced market”, which could easily turn into a buyer’s market as interest rates remain low and sellers reduce their asking prices to make the sale. Chris Potter, a tax specialist at PriceWaterhouseCooper writes in a report called Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2011, “Rising interest rates coupled with tight bank requirements and broader economic concerns tamper down a recent home buying spurt, particularly in Ontario and B.C., where purchasers stepped up activity before the HST went into effect.”
The market did experience a burst of activity prior to the implementation of the HST. Then, sales slumped over the summer, and while the fall sales came late, they did manage to pick up. In 2011, the Canadian Real Estate Association predicts that the balance between supply and demand will remain stable, which is good news for both buyers and sellers. Sellers can feel confident about price stability and purchasers will feel less pressure to make the quick offer.
A report released in November, 2010 by the Canadian Association of Mortgage Professionals maintains that the residential mortgage market is strong and a vast majority of Canadians could easily afford monthly increases of $300 dollars or more in their monthly payments. As of last August, there was over $1 trillion dollars in outstanding residential mortgage credit in Canada.
With all that said, timing the market perfectly is difficult. Usually consumers will take a look at their personal finances and then decide if they can afford to buy a house, or move up. However, Canadian consumers are also paying down their debt before the Bank of Canada starts to push up its interest rate, which will likely happen this spring. So that is good news. And since any rise in interest rates will be modest, purchasing a home will still be affordable, especially for first time homebuyers who will continue to dominate the market.
Investment goals
And if you haven’t already done so, now is a great time to to write out your property investment plan for the year. In that plan, decide your financial goals:
- What your net worth will be at the end of 2011
- How much money you need to retire.
- Your goals may be weekly, monthly or for any period you like.
- It’s also important to decide what to do when you achieve your goals and what to do if you don’t. For example, if you purchase that property you were after, celebrate it! If something happens and you didn’t end up purchasing it, decide what you’ll do then. Re-evaluate your goals? Find a new property? Decide on a new strategy?
- Then set out a schedule to achieve those goals over the next three years, five years, seven years and ten years. Remember that your plan is dynamic, meaning it can and will change as your priorities change and because some of your investments may not work out the way you planned.
- Look at the different investment strategies available to you and understand the types of properties you need to purchase. Then complete a cash flow projection. Any good real estate investment plan has a cash flow analysis.
You’ll also have to decide on an exit strategy -- when and how to liquidate your portfolio to get the maximum benefit according to you investment goals. Use the services of a good tax accountant, a good lawyer, a good mortgage broker and a good Realtor, who are all there to help you achieve success.